Pennsylvania Exit Polls (Democrat Primary)
Here is your thread for Pennsylvania exit polls and election results for the Pennsylvania primary. We will live-blog throughout the day on April 22, 2008 for the Democrat primary so use this thread to start the dialog.
What to Look For in the PA Exit Polls
Mark Blumenthal has a super-helpful post sizing up the differences in demographic composition among the various Pennsylvania polls, along with this useful chart summarizing all the crosstabs. The upshot (which I'm not sure Mark would
Don't trust the unweighted exit polls!
in a post that just got Instalanched -- as we political junkies giddily await the first hints of what's happening in Pennsylvania today (finally, another primary!! election results tonight!! exit polls!!! colorful maps!!! whee!
Pennsylvania and Polling
(1) Leaked exit polls, which have been way off this cycle, and been slanted an average of 7 points in Obama's direction. A substantial Clinton lead in the exit polls might be taken modestly more seriously than, say, something that
Pa Primary Voting Coverage
In order to maintain our standing as a powerhouse of political humor, we will be providing continuing coverage of the 2008 Pennsylvania primary. We’ll keep you updated throughout the day on Pennsylvania exit polls, and whether or not
Latest polls from Pennsylvania; McCain 15 million vs. Obama 40
5, exit polls showed that she led by 9 percentage points among whites, 6 points among those earning less than $50000, 9 points among those without a college degree and 20 points among those over 65. In Ohio, the site of her comfortable
In Pennsylvania, What Constitutes a Win?
Depending on what exit polls reveal about the nature of Mr. Obama's loss - in particular, is he continue to struggle among white blue-collar voters? - it would reinforce questions Mrs. Clinton's aides have been pressing about Mr.
Expectations and Realities
It's one thing to say ahead of time that "Clinton must win by double-digits for anything to matter" -- and another to maintain that line in the face of a victory speech, and after hours of parsing the exit poll returns, which always
Survey USA vs. PPP PA Poll Internals
I've broken everything down for each of the polls for comparison, and then threw in the Ohio exit polls since Ohio is probably the closest thing we have to an analog of Pennsylvania. Ohio's African-American population is 10.6% versus
Politisite Political Projections: Pennsylvania is key
The numbers that Langer cites above are from exit polls. In Ohio, the final Quinnipiac poll before the primary showed Clinton leading by a six-point margin (50% to 44%) among college educated whites and by more than 30 points (63% to